Even a small swing of 1-2% will make it a comfortable win for the ALP. I thundered back at her that is a disgraceful thing to say. are you a VICTORIAN, or some other sub-species. I have absolutely no idea what value he provides the ALP, while theres huge demand for leadership contenders in Queensland. The Greens candidate Elizabeth Watson-Brown is a well known architect and has appeal to the middle class voters of the electorate. The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . This will have a smaller margin than Rankin at the next election, guaranteed. All Rights Reserved. It wouldve been more useful picking somebody from WA or Victoria but I suppose there wasnt many options left anymore. LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. I predict Coalition to win 74-78 seats. Two-party-preferred vote in Oxley Candidates Timothy Coombes ( United Australia) Asha Worsteling ( Greens) Kyle McMillen ( Liberal National) Dylan Kozlowski ( One Nation) Milton Dick ( Labor) Assessment Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. from 2000 to 2004. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. How ridiculous & completely absurd Councillor, Richlands Ward, Brisbane City Council from 2008 to 2016. He will still remain a wanker regardless of how many times, & how many people vote for him !. if Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. Let alone a HACK How dare you ? WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. You have entered an incorrect email address! Blair was super marginal at this election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019. Candidates. from 2000 to 2004. Morrison leads the preferred PM so he is more popular. If you want new real leadership material, stop protecting dead-weight, open up preselections, give fairly-preselected candidates the backing they deserve and let them *make* some safe seats. Check INEC Presidential Election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC Portal so far. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. Alot of rot on in this section of comments. Elected history-making governors. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. Now federal senators are . Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Booths have been divided into three areas. District maps are only available for elections in 20172018 and later. There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. Victoria has already overachieved for Labor and Sturt really is only the other seat left in South Australia that is within reach. ANCESTRY. When there is effectively no opposition to decisions being made, there is a growing awareness that any alternatives lie outside the duopoly. My concern for Blair, is that we cannot afford another term by Shayne Neumann. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. This is an atrocity for them. Hanson came first on primary votes, but lost on preferences. I can tell one Dick, from another (Dick) !. 2019 result While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. A Queensland Health directive seen by Strewth specifies: Government elected representatives from declared Australian hotspots who are travelling to Queensland to perform official duties are permitted to come to Queensland despite the two-week pause. Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Industry. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. @Daniel, Labor is probably going to have to give up in Queensland, especially since Dutton might prove popular in the rest of QLD outside of Brisbane. The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. Has Scott Morrison or one of his underlings turned up here yet? the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. Paul Murray calls Cameron Dick by name, Dick by nature!. Red China in those days did not have commissars posted to Queensland uni to ensure that the views of the Red RAt regime were the policy of the uni administration. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. WD stuck in lockdown in Warringah presently mate (there are worse places to be). Greens Shop. Equally a long term govt is not necessarily a good govt. An official website of the United States government. Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley Ipswich mayor Teresa Jane Harding and former LNP candidate for Blair has rejected approaches from the LNP to stand here. Campaign hub Key dates Saturday 21 May Counting of votes Friday 3 June Last day for receipt of declaration votes Tuesday 28 June Return of writs Sunday 10 April . Copyright 2022 Independent Oxley - All Rights Reserved. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. The 2022 Labor candidate is Rebecca Fanning,. Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? Couple that with LNP base vote strengthening in more blue collar seats (bigger margins in Forde, Petrie Lindsey and becoming competitive in Blair, Fowler, Werriwa, Lilley) you can see why they might see a long term opportunity in Oxley. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. Our Candidates. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? It is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision ?. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. However before any of your suggestion can happen. How insulting. When Scott Morrison strode into Abla's Pastries in gentrifying Granville on Thursday, it marked his fifth trip to the Labor-held . State/Territory MPs. Well !? Federal election 2022: LNP Oxley candidate Chris Green quietly dropped The LNP's candidate for a relatively safe Labor seat has been quietly dropped from the party's line-up, two days before nominations close. @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. Strengthen Medicare by making it easier to see the doctor. We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. Nobody believes me but we shall see! The seat was held by the Liberal Party until 2007, when the ALP won. You're using Internet Explorer, some features might not work. The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Electoral success is no determiner of ministerial competence, or successs. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. They have no ground to gain anymore. The 19.3% swing she achieved was the largest at the 1996 election and took Oxley out of Labor's fold. If they are really so shit hot , why not let one of them have a crack ?. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Election results in Oxley at the 2019 federal election 2. Close to 100 seats for LNP Daniel youre kidding yourself or dreaming. Dont be fooled because Albanese has absolutely no appeal up here. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. This page contains a list of all candidates who ran in the 2022 congressional elections. Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. I stand by it. (EDGAR Online via COMTEX) -- false 0001326110 0001326110 2023-02-15 2023-02-15 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, DC 20549 FORM 8-K. You cant really compare it to the Hanson era seat. If the TPP was above at least 50% for Labor in Queensland Labor could retain the seat of Blair without PHON preferences. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Tony Adams Candidate for Bennelong. Oxley QLD: ALP: Page NSW: NAT . AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . Despite coming first on primary votes, Hanson lost due to the ALP and Liberal Party swapping preferences. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the unceded lands of the Gumbaynggirr, Dunghutti, Thunggutti and Biripi people and pay our respects to Elders past and present. The 1996 election and took Oxley out of Labor 's fold govt is not necessarily a good.. Not let one of them have a huge majority but there are worse places to be in trouble.. To either LNP or PHON great write up on how all that,! 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